
Managers pick candidates from their teams who have been closest to the manager and have done the manager's bidding. Then these candidates are referred to the skip level managers , who based on their rapport with the manager decide if they will promote the candidate or not. There is very little merit based decision making that happens. How well you talk, how much you market yourself, who you know , what influence they have and how much smoke and mirrors you have sold matters the most
In a black box. You need to first be selected to work on high profile projects then execute them flawlessly. Upon showing excessive above and beyond performance it could happen after 2 years. Others just gave bosses who like them and promote as a retention tool.
PayPal has a healthy peer feedback mechanism to both track & identify candidates for promotion. People get promoted both in Individual (Technology) track as well as Managerial track. PP also has awesome off-cycle promotions that work all through the year.
Favoritism, politically, threaten to quit and if they like you enough they'll give you a raise or promote you
Seems different for every org
They pick their favorites.
Performance based
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